UFC action continues with Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg, where the winner will be well-placed to contend for the flyweight title.
We also have UFC picks for the co-main event between Manuel Torres and Drew Dober, and there are some excellent fights on the undercard.
We have UFC Fight Night predictions for every fight on the card in Mexico City on March 29.
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Login to View Offers!UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg Betting Odds
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg Main Card Predictions
Brandon Moreno vs. Steve Erceg
Most of the early money with UFC odds has come for Moreno, and the former champion is looking to get back in the title hunt. He lost the title to Alexandre Pantoja in 2023, and he has since been beaten by Brandon Royval.
However, he bounced back in late 2024 with a win over Amir Albazi, and he looks to continue that momentum against Australia’s Erceg, who comes off consecutive losses to Pantoja in a title fight, and Kai Kara-France.
Losing to Kara-France isn’t a good look for Erceg, who is up against the crowd in Mexico City. Therefore, we’re backing Moreno to win at –240. It’s a fair price for the former champ, who could smother Erceg with a high intensity style.
Prediction: Brandon Moreno by Decision
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Manuel Torres vs. Drew Dober
There is nothing between Torres and Dober with UFC betting markets, but we’re leaning towards the experience of Dober in the co-main event.
Dober is 27-14, and although older fighters in the UFC have only a 34%-win rate, his experience could be too much for 30-year-old Torres to overcome. Torres won his UFC debut by submission before being knocked out by Ignacio Bahamondes, and that’s not a good look.
Dober hasn’t always been the most consistent type, but he has the edge over Torres, so include him at –120 odds.
Prediction: Drew Dober by KO
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Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer
There has been big money come for Joe Pyfer, who is a fighter on the rise after knocking out Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC 303.
The 28-year-old American faces an always-tough Kelvin Gastelum, who is 20-9, and he has fought some of the best in the business. However, he could struggle against the power advantage of Pyfer, who is eyeing a knockout.
Gastelum relies on his grappling to slow the fight down, but if he doesn’t get Pyfer to the ground early, it could be a quick fight.
Prediction: Joe Pyfer by KO
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Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Vince Morales
Raul Roses Jr is one of the shortest-priced favorites on the card at –450, and it’s hard to see him being beaten by Vince Morales.
We have been impressed by Rosas, who submitted Ricky Turcios before beating Qileng Aori by decision in a close fight. He combines good striking with takedowns, and that makes him hard to beat.
Morales is a capable fighter in his own right, but the +339 underdog could struggle to get close enough to Rosas to have an impact. Taking –450 isn’t easy, but Rosas is a good UFC parlay inclusion at UFC Fight Night.
Prediction: Raul Rosas Jr by Sub
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David Martinez vs. Saimon Oliveira
Saimon Oliveira was knocked out by Daniel Marcos in his UFC debut, which is why he’s the +324 underdog against UFC debutant David Martinez.
It’s not easy to line up the record of Martinez, who is 11-1, but he looked impressive when winning his Dana White’s Contender Series fight. It came by decision, and decision winners don’t often get contracts, but he dominated the fight.
He’s a local fighter with plenty of promise, and he’s another fighter worth including in parlays.
Prediction: David Martinez by Decision
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Ronaldo Rodriguez vs. Kevin Borjas
There won’t be much between Ronaldo Rodriguez and Kevin Borjas, which is reflected in betting markets. Rodriguez is the –145 favorite, and given his 17-2 record, we’re happy to back him.
His wins stack up slightly better than Borjas’, who has three losses on his 9-3 record. It could come down to who land the cleaner punches, and Rodriguez is typically a more economical fighter.
Prediction: Ronaldo Rodriguez by Decision
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(Predicted winners in bold)
Edgar Chairez vs. CJ Vergara
Jose Medina vs. Ateba Gautier
Christian Rodriguez vs. Melquizael Costa
Loopy Godinez vs. Julia Polastri
Rafa Garcia vs. Vinc Pichel
Jamall Emmers vs. Gabriel Miranda
Marquel Mederos vs. Austin Hubbard
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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg Parlay
We’re happy to anchor Moreno in our UFC Fight Night parlay. He is paying a healthy –240, which is good enough to boost parlay payouts.
There are a lot of short favorites on the card this Saturday, but they’re worth including in parlays, including Joe Pyfer, Ateba Gautier, and Loopy Godinez. They should all win their respective fights, and it’s the best way to secure value with short-priced favorites.
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