Middleweight

Mauricio Ruffy vs. Michael Chandler Prediction

UFC Freedom 250 · Sunday, June 14, 2026 · 7:15 PM ET

Fight upcoming

Mauricio Ruffy takes on Michael Chandler at UFC Freedom 250 on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Based on 10,000 simulated outcomes, we deliver expert predictions, betting lines, and key analysis for this middleweight bout.

"One Shot"
13 - 2 - 0
VS
"Iron"
23 - 10 - 0

Victory Probabilities 10,000 simulations

78.1% Mauricio Ruffy
21.9% Michael Chandler

Our prediction engine delivers an objective assessment of each fighter's likelihood of victory, generated from 10,000 fight simulations.

Latest Betting Lines

Market Mauricio Ruffy Michael Chandler
Moneyline -480 +330
Our Pick

Mauricio Ruffy Wins

Following rigorous modelling, our system projects Mauricio Ruffy with a 78.1% chance of victory, compared to Michael Chandler at 21.9%. Based on our projections, Mauricio Ruffy holds the edge over Michael Chandler at UFC Freedom 250.

Summary

Our Mauricio Ruffy vs. Michael Chandler forecast, powered by advanced simulation technology and up-to-date fight data, helps you make sharper betting decisions. Mauricio Ruffy is our projected winner with a 78.1% probability of victory at UFC Freedom 250 on Sunday, June 14, 2026.