Lightweight

Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira Prediction

UFC 326 · Saturday, March 7, 2026 · 10:00PM ET

Max Holloway takes on Charles Oliveira at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026. Based on 10,000 simulated outcomes, we deliver expert predictions, betting lines, and key analysis for this lightweight bout.

"Blessed"
27 - 9 - 0
VS
"do Bronxs"
37 - 11 - 0 , 1NC

Victory Probabilities 10,000 simulations

65.3% Max Holloway
34.7% Charles Oliveira

Our prediction engine delivers an objective assessment of each fighter's likelihood of victory, generated from 10,000 fight simulations.

Latest Betting Lines

Market Max Holloway Charles Oliveira
Moneyline -225 +172
KO/TKO +170 +850
Submission +1500 +330
Over/Under 3.5 Rounds O +108 U -136
Our Pick

Max Holloway Wins

Following rigorous modelling, our system projects Max Holloway with a 65.3% chance of victory, compared to Charles Oliveira at 34.7%. Based on our projections, Max Holloway holds the edge over Charles Oliveira at UFC 326.

Summary

Our Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira forecast, powered by advanced simulation technology and up-to-date fight data, helps you make sharper betting decisions. Max Holloway is our projected winner with a 65.3% probability of victory at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026.